Horse Racing. How to bet on horse racing and win The program determines the winner of horse racing

This strategy for Horse Racing sent by an anonymous user who bought it at a warehouse. The description does not contain the basics of trading and betting on exchanges, bookmakers. Beginners can find all this without problems in the public. For this reason, the material is not for beginners. The course contains two independent strategies, one for betting, the second for trading on the stock exchange. The author claims that in the first month he earned $ 900 on the main strategy for horse racing.

The strategy gives clear signals for betting or entering a trade - a specific coefficient (not lower) for a specific horse, which is available in a fairly large range of time. 10 - 30 markets are obtained per day, an average of 20. Bets are placed on the markets of the Winner (Win) and on Places (Place). Average coefficient 7.5, (minimum 1.36, maximum 51) ROI=17.89% (this is the minimum) per month of rates. (ROI is the return on investment).

The results are somewhat dispersive due to the large average coefficient. Chart at 100 USD fixed win bets:

Trading is carried out with the Back entry and the Lay exit, counting on a large drop in the coefficient (Swing trading). Early entry to the market is expected - from a few hours to a maximum of 15 minutes before the start. The exit in the strategy is calculated by BSP (starting coefficient). Income from trading ROI = 3.74% (per turnover I consider the amount of entry into the Back market). Trading is less dispersive than betting.

The description is divided into 3 blocks: first, the promised bonus, the second block - betting, the third - trading. All three blocks are logically linked, so I recommend reading without skipping. Everything described below is based on personal experience. All source data are posted separately in the Excel Strat_Koni.xlsx (Office 10) file, which you can download at the end of the article. This file serves not only to confirm the strategy and illustrate the results, but also to search for your own chips and modifications of the strategy, both for betting and for trading.

So, let's begin. Just a little bit of water. For those who don't know, British and Irish horse racing are very high turnover and liquid markets (at the level of football, tennis or even higher), both on betting exchanges and in English and other bookmakers. Exchanges are very indicative in this, where the volumes of transactions and the history of changes in coefficients are visible. The coefficients, which in theory express the probability of a horse winning, move very strongly, sometimes changing significantly - from 10 they fall to 3, others from 5 rise to 10 or more. One very interesting conclusion can be drawn from this - it is obvious that in some of its range the coefficients are valued (overestimated), that is, if we put down this coefficient, we will be in the black in a long period. It remains to find out at what moment and for what coefficient to bet. The water has run out.

Today in the article

Bonus. Forks for jumps.

He is the key to everything else. Forks. But not just surebets, but surebets for racing.

No need to sigh in disappointment now, for us this is a secondary product, but quite useful. Even experienced arbers will find useful moments here.

For those who are not aware of the surebet, this is such an arbitrage situation, when we put down in different offices we will have a plus in any case. The basics of forking without any problems are in the public domain.

We are interested in surebets for horse races between English top bookmakers and betting exchanges. By exchanges, I mean first of all Betfair, and secondly BetDaq (although access to the CIS has been closed since 2015). There is also a promising Smartbet (I have not dealt with it yet) and a backward WBX, but there is little liquidity. Top bookmakers are primarily William Hill and Bet365. I do not give links to sites, everything is searched elementary.

Why surebets appear on such big markets. There is a lot of volatility (movement) on the exchanges, caused by bettors, stock speculators and arbers, who move the line with their actions. The bulk of the money and usually the movement comes in the last 15 minutes. But movements occur much earlier, when either knowledgeable people, or simply competent marques who have found inflated odds, begin to be affixed. There are surebets with bookmakers. Bookmakers do not actively monitor their odds long before the start, and usually change them after some load, which is mostly done by arbers. Often arb situations arise after the horses are removed from the race (Non Runner) and the subsequent recalculation of the odds. The market decides where and how much to move.

How to look for surebets in horse racing. Certainly not by hand. Most of the scanners do not monitor races, I know one - Betlinker, which recently rebranded and called itself Betringer. Link: This is not an advertisement. The free version of the program that I use shows surebets up to 1%. Who decides to deal with surebets more closely, may decide to buy a paid version of the program, the cost of 2000 rubles per month. To use the program, you need to download the client from the developer's website, install it on your computer and register. Registration takes place in the client itself.

To display only races, you need to check the corresponding box in the "Filter" menu. On the page with a choice of bookmakers, I recommend that you definitely leave the checkboxes for: Betfair, Betdaq (even if you are not going to bet here), WilliamHill, Bet365, Marathon aka Panbet. The rest are optional. The program itself will calculate the amount of bets, you can set the amount of commission on the exchanges individually and much more.

By the way, the program is able to display live surebets. But this is for fast-clicking extreme sportsmen.

Forking at the races and some nuances

After noticing a large number of arbs using the above FL, especially between William Hill and Betfair, having accounts in both offices, I took up the arb. Since bookmakers don't like arbers, I expected a quick account cut at William Hill. In reality, the account lived for more than a month, without much effort, 512 surebets were placed in 34 days. Forks with a profit of 0.3-1%. Starting pot 700 USD, earned just over 900 USD. The average coefficient is 7.57. About 2/3 of the forks go to Place.

Features of surebets for horse racing

The long life of the plug is tens of minutes, sometimes it hangs for hours. First put down in the bookmaker, then on the stock exchange. The classic arber scrolls his game bank twice a day (once for Europe and the second time for night America), when surebets for horse races, I scrolled my rather small initial bank 4-5 times per evening. If the money flowed to one side (usually to William Hill), a withdrawal order was made in the evening, I use Moneybookers, in the morning the money is already in the wallet, and I continued forking. Naturally, accounts for this must be verified by documents. This is the standard for all bookmakers. Grandpa William Hill can get a little pissed off at times with his paperwork requirements, but he's generally fair. I wanted to re-documents (the account was not used for a long time), but not scanned copies, but color photographs of documents. Chat support is excellent, document verification is fast - a few hours. Withdrawal to Moneybookers is very fast.

The optimal pot size for surebets and races is $1.5-2.5k, three quarters of which are on the exchanges. This will allow you to put down all the noticed surebets. Most of the pot is on the exchange because most surebets will be at odds over 4-5. For example, for k = 10, you need only $100 in the bookmaker, and the remaining $890 are put down on the exchange, which never cuts accounts (more precisely, $117.16 against a coefficient of 8.6 with a 6.5% exchange commission with obligations of $890 - fork 0.96%, net $9.55). Another feature: in the Place markets on the stock exchange, the amounts hang like a small 10-100 USD, but when they are eaten, the same amounts appear under the fork again. Obviously, someone is affixed, but not in one “patty”, but in parts, so as not to strongly bend the market.

I recommend using the Betdaq exchange as an alternative (not for the CIS, unfortunately). Upon registration, you will be offered as a bonus a reduction in commission to 3% (base 5%), on Betfair 6.5%. The market on Betdaq always follows Betfair, usually trailing one pip. But due to the lower commission, it is often more profitable to bet on Betdaq. Surebets that are over 1% on Betfair and do not show up in the basic Betlinker package are often shown with Betdaq, where the odds are lower.

From the screen shots of the William Hill account, you can see, especially in the initial period of surebets, besides horse races, other surebets (tennis, baseball, football), but their number is not large. After 3-4 days, I saw that the funds were not being used rationally, and I switched only to surebets for racing. This significantly increased the turnover of the existing bank. I tried to distribute bet amounts evenly among surebets, and not load everything on the sweetest one - responsibility on exchanges is within $ 100-200. The average bet at William Hill was $21.34. For the first two weeks, the bank was not enough to place all the surebets, then (from the 3rd week) I put everything I saw. I tried to put down in the morning or at lunchtime, then somewhere around 3-4 and 6-9. I spent a total of 2-3 hours a day on putting surebets.

Summary of surebets for horse racing

You can earn, a bank of 2k $ is enough, profit per month is 1-1.5k $, an account in William Hill is held for a month or until winning in the office 2k $ (information from the forums), there is no latest data on Bet365, but they cut a little faster, Marathon cuts in 3-4 days. You need to have a lot of "Friends" to put on the conveyor.

Horse Racing Betting

We consider bets on the bookmaker William Hill, which were put down in reality. Placed surebets (see the section “Bonus. Surebets for racing”) after cutting the account were entered into the Excel file (Strat_Koni.xlsx), and the analysis of bets in the bookmaker was carried out. Found a lot of interesting things.

When putting surebets, there is always a weak and a strong office. Weak gives incorrect (inflated) quotes or is late with the update. And money almost always slowly but surely flows into a weak office. Any arber can confirm this to you. Therefore, with 900 USD earned on surebets, I expected to see at the end some plus in William Hill (around 700-1000 USD) and zero or small plus / minus in Betfair and Betdaq. But the results fell short of expectations.

The bookmaker received a big plus - 2 times more than expected: with 503 bets placed on horse races, and an average bet amount of 21.34 USD, the winnings were 1883.8 USD and ROI = 17.24%. The maximum coefficient is 51, the minimum is 1.36, the average coefficient is 7.5. Bets were placed on the markets of the Winner (Win) - 196 bets, ROI = 27.08% and on Places (Place) - 307 bets, ROI = 12.01%.

All data in the Strat_Koni.xlsx file. There are 2 tabs in the file: "Bets" and "Trade". The last one is for the Horse Racing Trading Strategy section. So, let's go through the file - I'll give some clarifications. Blue (blue) cells are those that are calculated automatically and are informative. All green (light green) cells are cells that specify some criteria that affect the results.

The page logically consists of two parts. The first shows all bets, indicating the day, racetrack, horse, distance, number of horses in the race, start time of the race and time of bet placement. Racecourses not British or Irish are also indicated - “No GB”, for which I did not find data on the distance and number of horses. Bets marked "void" are not taken into account, these are horses withdrawn from the race, for them k = 1. All deposits and withdrawals in William Hill are also shown - 2265.59 were withdrawn for the specified period. The amount is slightly larger than the winnings on bets on horses (1883.8), since at first surebets were made not only for horse racing, but also for others - tennis, football, baseball, but their number is not large, and you can see all of them on the screenshots of my account at William Hill, and they mostly won at the bookmaker.

It also takes into account the reduction in coefficients due to the removal of horses from the race (Non Runners), their number, the maximum % reduction in payout due to withdrawal, the time the reduction is applied. A check is made, and if there was a downgrade after the bet was made at William Hill, (the value “Yes” in the “remarks” field) an additional manual check is made of the downgrade %, since the Places and the Winner% are different for different markets, and the number of such bets is not large. You can double-check by going to the William Hill website in the Results section.

In the section "My bets in William Hill" the indicated real odds for which were put down, correction factors taking into account "Non Runners", the amount of the real bet, the sign of winning, the amount of the bonus " Best price”, if this took place (this is a situation when the coefficient in the bookmaker increased by the start and the bet still played). Payments in the corresponding column were entered directly from the account, and were not calculated according to a seemingly simple formula, but there is an explanation for this. It turns out that odds are calculated in William Hill in the English manner - in fractions, and even if you switched the display of odds to decimal format, this does not change anything. For example, a fractional ratio of 10/3 corresponds to a decimal ratio of 4.33. But betting 100 on a coefficient of 4.33, the winnings will not be 333 units, but 333.33. These extra cents at first tormented me, because the calculated result did not converge with the real one. And Secondly, sometimes there was a decrease in the coefficients.

Further, real profit, turnover and ROI are calculated for all bets, for bets on the Winner and for bets on Places separately. At the bottom of the sheet, starting from line 520, beautiful and informative graphics are drawn. For example, you can see a large profit drawdown, approximately 860 USD, due to a rather long losing streak of bets on Places.

Let me remind you that the green cells change.

If you need to analyze only bets on the Winner, then leave "1" under "Win", and put "0" under "Place" - bets on places will not be taken into account. Then you can set the range of coefficients (minimum and maximum including extreme values), distances in meters (below there is an approximate conversion to miles and feet - it may differ by several meters), time before the start (in the format HH:MM, but no more than 23:59 ), the number of horses in the race.

Believe me, there are many interesting things, and profit and ROI can be raised very much.

Next, we consider the options for betting with a fixed amount (flat), with a fixed amount of winnings and bets according to the Kelly criterion. The amount of the bet, or winning, or the percentage of excess over the line in Kelly, the initial bank - are set by the user (the amount of the bet with the Kelly criterion depends on the initial pot, so it cannot be zero). Winnings, turnover, ROI, number of bets are calculated. Only those bids that meet the filter conditions are taken into account. If we set the initial data so that the turnover is the same, we will see that the Kelly criterion is the best, and a fixed amount is the worst option. In reality, I put down, trying to stick to a fixed amount of winnings (fixed obligations on the exchange about 200 USD), but not very strictly. The last three days the account in William Hill was cut, the maximum winning was no more than 90, so the amounts are smaller.

Why is a fixed amount of the bet, in my opinion, and in reality, the worst option. I think it’s wrong to put the same amount on a coefficient of 1.5 and on 25, that is, with a large spread of coefficients. Therefore, I took the model with a fixed amount of winnings as a basis.

What improvements can be calculated using filters. For example, when betting on Places (with a fixed amount of winnings) ROI = 9.13% (total 307 bets):

  • if the maximum coefficient is limited to Kmax=5, then ROI=14.69% (160 bets);
  • or at any odds, take only bets on places one hour before the start Tmax=1:00, then ROI=24.92% (120 bets);
  • with Kmax=5 and Тmax=1:00 then ROI=29.79% (70 bets);
  • with the number of horses from 10 inclusive Nmin=10 then ROI=21.19% (215 bets);
  • and with Nmin=10 and Tmax=1:00, then ROI=41.19% (86 bets);
  • if the distance is more than 2000m (f) Lmin=2000 then ROI=14.63% (154 bets).

A similar picture can be seen with bets on the Winner (with a fixed amount of winnings) ROI = 28.33% (196 bets in total):

  • if Kmax=15 then ROI=30.4% (161 bets);
  • if Tmax=1:00 then ROI=36.25% (96 bets);
  • if Lmin=2000 then ROI=39.22% (74 bets) .

From this follows the conclusion: the smaller the coefficient, the longer distance the closer to the start the bet is made, the more horses- the more profitable it is to bet. Bets on Win are more profitable than bets on Places.

I also suspect that the Winner bets may drop a little, since the average odds are quite high and 200 bets is not enough to determine their effectiveness quite accurately. But the trend is obvious and the probability of the rates going negative at a distance is negligible (I wanted to write it is impossible).

A little about the Kelly criteria.

Where K is the bookmaker's coefficient, V is the player's assessment of the event (probability), C is the part of the bank for the bet, K0 is the player's coefficient.

Using simple arithmetic operations, we will find the amount of the bet S, which will depend on our bank B (let's take the initial one, not the dynamic one), on ROI and K - the bookmaker's coefficient. Moreover, the ROI for bets on the Victory and on the Places is different, taken from the statistics, and the table shows a little even underestimated.

Horse Racing Betting Summary

Bets are placed on one surebet shoulder (but very skewed) at William Hill bookmaker (possibly at Bet365, but the latter are more efficient), on the Winner with ROI=15-20% and on Places with ROI=8-10%. Betringer arb scanner is used to search for the bet object, the recommended arb percentage is from 0.4% and higher. The higher the percentage, the higher the value rate. You can also use the free version of Betringer, but surebets are visible only up to 1%. Be sure to enable the display of both major exchanges in the scanner: Betfair and BetDaq. If on Betfair a surebet of 2% is not displayed in the free version, then in BetDaq it can be 0.8% and displayed, and vice versa. A paid subscription will increase your bidding performance. But, the bookmaker “cuts” over time, so “friends” are needed.

Horse racing trading strategy

Not everyone has many "friends", but many have accounts on the Betfair exchange, and many have tried to trade on the exchange. As a rule, the main obstacle was the lack of a trading strategy. Now we will talk about my author's trading strategy for horse racing. If the first two points did not impress you, since many elements have already flashed somewhere, then the one described below, I have not met before at all.

In the “Horse racing bets” section, we find overpriced odds both by the bookmaker and the market in general. They are found not only by us, but also by many other people. The fact that they are overpriced can be seen from the section. By the start, the coefficient in the bookmaker falls, and after it on the stock exchange. The fall on the stock exchange can be checked by looking at the starting odds on Betfair (), we will consider this item in more detail below. That is the reason for the movement on the stock exchange.

This idea is confirmed by the fact that when putting surebets between the bookmaker and the exchanges, a rather large minus was received on the exchanges (both) - 900 USD. What does it mean. The coefficients, which in reality were put down on the exchanges (LAY - rates) are overestimated, and they go down to the beginning - therefore, trading works perfectly.

From this, two more ideas arose - to simply check the bets on the stock exchange: at inflated BACK (Back) and LAY (Again) odds at the starting odds, which fell, of course, taking into account the commission of 6.5%. The results are close to zero, ROI=1.727% for BACK and ROI=0.496% for LAY bets, see the table and charts below. Given Betfair's 6.5% commission, our BACK odds on the exchange are initially inflated by 8%. Many people know this, and by the start they are lowered, but too much, so that they become underestimated by 7%. But betting doesn't make a profit from it, Betfair's commission eats everything up. I think that the strategy is not suitable for bets in its pure form on the stock exchange, except for generating commissions and avoiding PI (Premium Charge), experienced people know what it is.

How to trade horse racing

Having found a surebet with the help of Betringer, however paradoxically it sounds, stand on the stock exchange BACK (For), although we are substituting for a surebet. course in this moment time there is a better offer in the bookmaker, but now we only trade on the stock exchange. The arbers are our friends in this situation, as they help to buy up the application we have placed. Arborists do not increase the coefficient in the direction we do not need, they always take what they already have. Even if they raise it up by a point, this is only a plus for us. The horse racing market is large, inflated odds push to the top to the bottom. Only now the traders will share their profits with the arbers, and the bettors (at the bookmaker) take everything for themselves.

Not all markets in a row are positive and go like clockwork, but the overall picture impressed me. Let's test our theory in more detail.
Let's go to the "Trade" tab of the Strat_Koni.xlsx file (the tabs are switched at the bottom of the page). The first columns A-Z are the same as in the Bets tab, but we will only consider bets on the British and Irish racecourses. There are two reasons: liquidity in other markets is insufficient for trading, and secondly, I do not have data on BSP starting coefficients in these markets. On the site at the link "Cards & Results" you can find data on the starting odds of British and Irish horse racing - BSP for the Winner market and for the Place market, plus the minimum and maximum odds for the winner in in-play.

So we have the odds at the close of the market on Betfair, we have market details. How to find out the odds at the time of placing bets, because my bets go according to William Hill, and the history of bets in Betfair is limited to 3 months, and at the time of writing this opus, it is no longer available. Very simple. I put surebets from 0.3% to 1%, sometimes I came across 1.3% but I caught them through BetDaq. Betfair commission is 6.5%, I have a discount, but I do not take it into account. Knowing the odds of the bookmaker, the size of the surebet (I took 1% - the maximum), the Betfair commission (6.5% - also the maximum), we can calculate the LAY odds on the exchange. For me, they turned out to be underestimated, in reality I took LAY a little higher. But this is good for us, since we will enter the trade BACK (For), and the calculated coefficient approximately corresponds to the real (at the time of the bet) value of BACK. The Betfair commission values ​​and the percentage of the wiki can be changed (in green cells), but even increasing these parameters does not change the picture in general, but only reduces the plus - see the trading charts below.

We now have all the data. Let's see what happens if we enter the BACK (Back) market at the calculated coefficient long before the start, and exit with the LAY (Again) rate immediately before the start (calculated by the BSP coefficient) with an even distribution of profit or loss. See the “Trading” section, there are two options: entry with a fixed amount of BACK, regardless of the odds, and entry with a fixed win, when the bet amount depends on the odds. Plus, there are branded filters for finding your strategies, the work with which was described above. ROI (if such a concept is applicable to trading) is approximately the same, = 3.585% and 3.745%, respectively. But if you look at the charts (below line 520), you can see that fixed win trading has a more even rise in the chart and I like it more.

After playing with the filters, I came to the conclusion that a very early entry on the exchange does not give a big advantage. Optimally, an hour or two before the start, while trading with a fixed amount, ROI = 6.826% (294 trades) will almost double. And if we take only Places, then ROI=8.037% (192 trades). If the entry is with a fixed win, the ROI remains almost unchanged, approximately 3.4% with a larger turnover.

In practice, there are some points on the use of the system, primarily related to entering the market. As mentioned above, we enter with a BACK (Back) bet. It is not necessary to take someone else's application, it is better to submit your own, it will be taken away quickly, since we will still be under the fork with the bookmaker. Therefore, the section on surebets was described in some detail. In this case, arbers will be assistants to traders. If we put a surebet on the same event, we would take the return line - the LAY (Lay) bet. Here is such a paradox.

If we take the Winner's market, then there will be no problems with entering even many hours before the start. The only thing is, with a large amount of the BACK entry (more than 100), it makes sense to split the entry amounts, and not shove them with one cutlet, so as not to bend the market ahead of time. But not everything is so simple with the Places market. It is filled with good liquidity only an hour - half an hour before the start. And before, there are back bets for 20-100 USD (under the surebet with a bookmaker), and under them there is often emptiness. When the arbers try and buy these amounts, they grow again, that is, someone splits their big bet. You can queue up with your bet and wait for the arbers to catch up. Or you can not wait, but go to the “Winner” market, and place a BACK (For) bet on the same horse. The coefficient also sags quite well, which is logical: if the coefficient falls on the “Place” of the horse, then it falls on its victory. But in this case, 5 minutes before the start, a rebound is often observed, since we are trading far from the favorite. This statement is based only on personal observation, and I cannot confirm it with figures. Therefore, it is not taken into account in the system.

In the announcement, I wrote that the market without consequences is able to withstand up to 50 people with an average pot (1-3k $). Rationale. With this size of the pot, the average size of the bet or amount of entry into the trade is about 100 USD. When trading, we immediately stand on one side of the fork, and we can shove the amount exactly as much as the bookmaker can withstand at the second end of the fork. That is, the market volume is exactly as much as the William Hill bookmaker can tolerate in our case, before the odds decrease. With practice, it's somewhere around $5k per horse. With a bet of $100, this will give 50 people. And it doesn’t matter whether you bet immediately at the bookmaker or trade – then the second part of the surebet for you at the bookmaker will be placed by the arbers (and will thank you), the market volume according to the strategy is determined purely by the volume of the market for the bookmaker’s horse.

Another idea I tested. We have a minimum In-play odds on the Winner market. I wondered how the horses that fall under the strategy run during the race. The entrance was taken by BSP, and the exit to In-play was either at a given Kmin coefficient, or at a given % decrease in the coefficient from the starting BSP - LAY,%. A 50% decrease is a factor change of 2 times. When Kmin=1, closing is taken into account only at a reduced coefficient by a given %. If the coefficient is less than 1 after the decrease, then the trade is not taken into account and the profit is 0. If you need to take into account closing only at a fixed coefficient Kmin , then set LAY,%=100. If both values ​​are given and Kmin>1 and LAY,%<100, то торговля закрывается в плюс если коэффициент в In-play опустился хотя бы до уровня одного из заданного значения или лошадь в забеге победила, иначе идет минус. Лучший результат – это ROI= -1,01%, закрытие при понижении коэффициента на 80%. Вывод: искать в In-play нечего по этой стратегии.

The system gives both negative days and calculated for a long period. But the drawdowns are not large: when entering with a fixed rate BACK (For), the maximum drawdown for the day was 205.5% (two amounts of the entry were lost); when entering with a sum with a fixed win - the maximum drawdown per day is -53.69% of the winning amount.

Therefore, psychology plays an important role for traders. Even with a positive trading strategy, entry and exit points, you can be in the red. For example, at first I sinned as follows: I entered on time, and seeing a plus in the market of 5-7% an hour before the start, I joyfully closed in plus, and then sadly looked at the drop in coefficients and realized that I could take 20-30%. And vice versa, seeing that the market is going against me, at first I endured in the hope of a rebound, but at the peak it closed at minus 20-30%, although before the start the coefficient returned, and I could have minus 5% or even plus. But the worst thing is when you get a minus for a day or for a long period of time, and there is a very big temptation to recoup, usually by catching up. Although you understand that the minus would have recouped even without catching up.

Horse Racing Trading Summary

Place a BACK (Back) bet on the stock exchange in a arb situation. A Betringer arb scanner is used to search for arbs. Entrance is optimally an hour - 15 minutes before the start. Exit the LAY (Lay) market either by BSP or in the last 5 minutes. If there is insufficient liquidity on the "Places" market, enter BACK (For) on the "Winner" market. You can count on ROI = 3.5-6% of the amount of entry into the market. The market volume is about $5k. The strategy is designed to win in a long period and allows for drawdowns and negative days.

The movement on the stock exchange occurs because many people see horses overvalued by the market and by the start they are pushed down, both in bookmakers and on the stock exchange.

Place bets with friends. There is such a thing as "parley", and thanks to him the process becomes more exciting. If you brought friends with you, invite everyone to fold, say, 250 rubles. Then everyone must choose a horse and race. Place your first bet and if you win, place your next bet with all the money you won. If you are lucky, the amount will grow very quickly. Make sure that the gain (and loss) is shared equally among everyone. Make sure everyone agrees to the rules before bidding. Someone may say that he won, and everyone else lost, so it is important to stipulate all the conditions before ...

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Good day.

And while there is still some time left before the start of the March Madness in the NCAA, I had the idea to write about one of the most noble sports - horse racing.

I will try to immerse you in the world of horse racing betting and teach you what I have been learning for a year and a half: how to find a winner in the race card. I do not pretend to be an expert in this world, but I realized that after some time studying the subject, it is very realistic to get a good plus in a month. I hope that my post will be able to interest you in horse racing, as well as speed up the process of understanding the race and evaluating the horse.

Horse racing is one of the most popular sports in a number of countries. USA, Australia, Britain, UAE - this is just a small list of countries where horse racing is a mega popular phenomenon. The development of horse racing in the United States could have been much faster if it were not for local state laws that prohibit betting activities. Australia seems to have taken over from its British friends who...

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This horse racing strategy was sent by an anonymous user who bought it at a warehouse. The description does not contain the basics of trading and betting on exchanges, bookmakers. Beginners can find all this without problems in the public. For this reason, the material is not for beginners. The course contains two independent strategies, one for betting, the second for trading on the stock exchange. The author claims that in the first month he earned $ 900 on the main strategy for horse racing.

The strategy gives clear signals for betting or entering a trade - a specific coefficient (not lower) for a specific horse, which is available in a fairly large range of time. 10 - 30 markets are obtained per day, an average of 20. Bets are placed on the markets of the Winner (Win) and on Places (Place). Average coefficient 7.5, (minimum 1.36, maximum 51) ROI=17.89% (this is the minimum) per month of rates. (ROI is return on investment) The results are somewhat variance due to the large average ratio. Chart at rates with a fixed...

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From time immemorial, horse racing has excited people's minds with its unpredictable results, the speed of events and the adrenaline received from viewing. After the first bets on horse racing appeared, the consciousness of people generally exploded. The equestrian sport began to gather hundreds of thousands at the hippodromes, not even millions of people who wanted to bet on a horse, in their opinion, running to victory.

However, it so happened that horse racing is not very popular with our player. But this does not mean that no one is fond of equestrian sports. There are connoisseurs of horse racing, who consider them art. Also, we have a lot of bettors who are very successful in betting on this particular sport.

Horse racing betting where to start

And we will most likely start with a discussion of the types of bets on this equestrian sport. Probably every bettor once made at least one bet on horse racing. Someone liked it, and he decided to continue, and someone ...

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When playing with bookmakers or on the stock exchange, it is important to be aware of your goal. Lack of purpose can lead to a quick and final loss. You will bet daily, and at high odds, trying to win back the loss that has arisen, then you make bets under the influence of impulses, as a result, the game will turn out to be not very pleasant for you. No matter what, force yourself to pause and think about the important things that will be discussed below:

Risk. There are no and cannot be correct answers to questions about where and how much you need to bet in order to win. The result depends, excluding for the time being other reasons, on how much you are willing to take risks. To answer the question of where to bet, you need to determine whether you are risk averse. A player who wants to win big money at all costs can choose to bet on high odds, although this path is quite risky. This type of player is opposed by another type, quite happy with a ten percent profit from ...

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How to consistently earn $100 to $150 daily income from horse racing in the UK.


Anyone, even an absolute beginner in this topic, can easily achieve similar results using the experience of the author (Ruslan Ageev), practical experience and Ready Templates.
Through the use of Pattern Analysis, bid pass rates average 90 - 93%.

The advantages of this type of income:


1. Ease of access. All you need is a PC (or smartphone) + Internet access.

2. Withdrawal of money upon request. Money from the BetFair exchange is withdrawn at your request to WebMoney, Moneybookers payment systems or to a plastic card. I recommend withdrawing the earned money at the end of each week in installments of 500 - 1000 $. At the same time, always leave 100 - 150 $ on the exchange balance for work next week. After submitting a withdrawal request, the money comes to your wallet within 24 hours.

3. No competition. At BetFair there is no such thing as...

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Horse racing is a traditional sport that dates back to ancient times. Horse racing is rightly considered an elite entertainment that is not available to every person. This is due to the high cost of thoroughbred horses, as well as the high costs of their maintenance and training.

Equestrian sport originated in antiquity, when people had just tamed horses. Starting from the time of Ancient Egypt, horse racing began to gradually become popular. A little later, in ancient Greece, chariot racing was even included in the program of the Olympic Games. The winners were honored on a par with the warriors who became famous in battles.

Horse racing fascinated the aristocratic circles of Europe and the New World. Currently, this type of competition has become widespread almost all over the world, millions of viewers follow the progress of the competition via the Internet and with the help of television.

Types of horse racing

If you do not take into account the very exotic races on ice, ...

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Among the various options for making money on the Internet, you should consider in more detail the possibility of making money on horse racing. An attractive feature of this sporting event is the minimum duration of one race (on average, it lasts no more than seven minutes).

By betting on horse racing, you can secure a fairly good and, most importantly, stable income on the Internet, because this sport is considered relevant throughout the year. However, in order to maximize the chance of winning, you need to carefully study the intricacies of horse racing and be patient, since the ability to make money in this sport will directly depend on your attentiveness.

Online work has always attracted users with its huge opportunities, and online horse racing is a great option. Before deciding to make a certain bet, you need to take into account many factors that can ...

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Horse racing betting is the oldest form of betting. Thanks to horse racing, bookmakers appeared to accept bets on horse races. And only then bookmakers began to accept bets on other events. Horse racing takes place all year round around the world.

For more than one century, running and horse racing have attracted people with their spectacularity, unpredictability of results, as well as the opportunity to make good money on horse races. That is why the first sweepstakes arose on hippodromes, and equestrian competitions laid the foundation for the development of world bookmaking. In addition, betting shops at the hippodrome played a big role in the development of the industry, as part of the money received was invested in the construction of facilities, infrastructure development and horse care.

It is believed that horse racing first appeared in England and was simply an entertainment for kings and the elite. Gradually, with the development of breeding horse breeding, equestrian competitions began to acquire more and more mass ...

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In the last article, we talked about betting exchanges and bookmakers.

The time has come to talk about how you can make money on these exchanges! Horse racing is one of the most popular sports among the so-called. “cappers” or “panthers” (punter) - those who are betting professionally or at a good amateur level. Why? - you ask. In my opinion, there are several reasons: - There are many events per day, you can always find “your” race; - The short duration of each event, which means a quick turnover (or drain) of capital; - A huge database of statistics, which allows you to look for patterns and build strategies (except that backtesting is not so easy to do); - Large volumes of bets (judging by the Betfair betting exchange) - no one is surprised by the amount of several thousand dollars per horse, often the volume of betting per horse exceeds 1 million dollars per race!

Horse racing analysis

This strategy can be called “fundamental analysis” of races. Just unlike...

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Zhanna Zaitseva: it is almost impossible to organize a contracted race so that a certain horse wins

Greetings Jeanne. Tell us about yourself: where are you from, what is your education, what are you working on in the UK, how does your work relate to horse racing and sports betting?

My name is Zhanna Zaitseva, I am from Tver. She lived in Moscow for twelve years. I am a journalist and translator by training. And for most of my life, I did not suspect that I would somehow be connected with the betting business. But for the last two or two and a half years, I've been connected to him quite closely.

The move to England took place for personal reasons. I did not plan to stay here, but very quickly a job was found for me, primarily related to my journalistic activities.

I work for Independent Content Services. Its head office is located in Leeds. Our company is engaged in providing content for betting sites. We work very closely with a number of...

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You will need

Analyze strategies; - prepare for the event; - place bets.

Instruction

Keep in mind that horse racing betting is most popular in the UK. During the Grand National races, English bookmakers record the maximum activity of players. Remember that bets on favorites are considered not the most profitable. Offices, as a rule, underestimate the odds to minimize possible losses. This leads to the fact that the player in most cases is in the red.

There are several strategies to win at the races. Bet on the underdog. If at least three out of ten bets win at you, you will at least remain in the black, and at the maximum, hit a solid jackpot. To be on the safe side, bet on a few underdogs.

The famous rider Nikolai Nasibov offers his proven strategy. Bet on the most beautiful horse. Her eyes light up and...

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Free strategy of Dmitry Zagorodnev

Name Precise selection

I'm giving you seven rules that we use in horse racing.

As you know, there are many systems and strategies for choosing horses well. Now we will write down the seven main criteria by which we select. Each of them can be a separate strategy for horse racing (Horse Racing)

We should check the condition of the treadmill before the race.

2. We look at the statistics of jockeys, I will say that it often changes and is not the same. Each individual hippodrome has its own group of jockeys and their statistics are taken into account separately.

3. We must take into account the shape of the horse - with this we have a separate article on the site, which would analyze this direction in more detail.

4. We take into account how many days have passed since the last race. All this can be seen in the race map. Let me give you some information that every horse has both muscle and brain memory. The horse that...

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Continuation. I advise you to read the first and second parts first.

Today we will talk about trading on the races, but the principle of trading is the same for any market on Betfair: trading on the difference in odds, on their change over time.

You can trade before the start of the race, during it, or a combination of both. Now let's talk about the first.

The main advantage of trading do-in-play before in-play is the safety of nerve cells. It is for this reason that I stopped on it. The main thing is to develop a system of market entries and exits. There are many trading options, but the main two are swing and scalping.

Swing is trading for several points. The odds are flying like crazy, often with ranges of 25-10. If in this situation we can buy at a coefficient of 25 for $100, then we can sell at a coefficient of 10 for $250, the net profit will be $150. We will talk more about swing in the next article.

Today we will talk about scalping, trading in one point. For example, I...

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Not so long ago, the betting business was entirely associated with horse racing. It was near the hippodromes that cash desks were built to accept bets on horse races, and entertainment venues were opened that attracted the attention of gamblers. And the bookmakers themselves tried to stay close to the hippodromes, developing and equipping it in order to maintain the popularity of their business.

Today, preference among the players of bookmakers is still given to more popular sports. For example, the focus of both the players and the bookmakers themselves is on football, basketball, tennis or hockey. Playing betting on the hippodrome is reserved for a select few fans. Only those who honor the traditions of bookmaking still play horse races.

It is worth noting that bets on horse racing in the sweepstakes are especially popular among residents of the UK, where this sport originated. Some bookmakers make the bulk of their income...

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Symbols, Features and Tricks of Horse Racing Betting

Horse racing predictions are still popular today. How to get acquainted with this type of sports competition and learn how to bet on it?

First of all, you need to check if your bookmaker offers horse racing betting. To do this, you need to view all the available offers on the site. If there is a possibility of such bets, then you will most likely see a menu in which you can choose one of the countries where the competitions will be held. Here you need to understand that horse racing is most common in North America and the UK. If you want popular markets, then you need to bet only on competitions in these countries.

Subscribe to Alvin Almazov: Vkontakte, Instagram, Telegram, Facebook, Twitter. Free sports predictions, hot girls, good humor and celebrity tips are waiting for you!

Let's take the BetFair exchange as an example, here the opportunities for making money on the races are very high. So, ahead of you...

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Horse racing betting is the oldest form of betting. Thanks to horse racing, bookmakers appeared to accept bets on horse races. And only then bookmakers began to accept bets on other events. Horse racing takes place all year round around the world.


For more than one century, running and horse racing have attracted people with their entertainment, unpredictable results, as well as the ability to make money on horse racing. That is why the first sweepstakes arose on hippodromes, and equestrian competitions laid the foundation for the development of world bookmaking. In addition, betting shops at the hippodrome played a big role in the development of the industry, as part of the money received was invested in the construction of facilities, infrastructure development and horse care.

It is believed that horse racing first appeared in England and was simply an entertainment for kings and the elite. Gradually, with the development of breeding horse breeding, equestrian competitions began to become more and more widespread, and already in the 17th century, breeding of horses for sporting purposes was established here, and the first bets began to be made at the races. Later, equestrian competitions spread throughout the world, preserving English traditions. have become part of the culture of many countries and peoples. Nowadays, the annual turnover of all bookmakers in the world accepting horse racing betting worth trillions of dollars. In London alone, there are more than 3,000 betting shops.

How to make money on horse racing?

Today, betting on horse racing attracts millions of people with the ease of making a transaction and a quick result. There is no need to wait for a long competition. Each race lasts from 40 seconds to 5 minutes depending on the length of the track. Horse races are held on which differ in types like the horse races themselves.

In a day, more than 350 races, for example, only in America every day there are from 150 to 300 races. Our regular visitors know that initially our site was only about horse racing, so we have collected the widest possible information about them.

In order to bet on horse racing, you must select a race. This is where knowledge about types of horse racing. This is necessary in order to properly evaluate horses.

For example, you have chosen a race in England on the page of the betting site, on the page of the race it is indicated hippodrome, race time, distance and type. This is already important information, because we can already start from the type of races in the analysis, for example, the Handicap is a subspecies of smooth races, and as you know, in smooth races at a sprint distance, the horse must be well rested and have a break of at least 15-30 days after it. the last participation in the races, as well as a small weight relative to other participants in order to have a very high speed.

Next, you need to analyze horse shape. horse shape(Form) is an important indicator for choosing a particular rate. This concept includes data on the results of previous races. Bookmakers rarely pay much attention to the analytics of the form of horses, because having all the cards in hand, it will be very easy to make money on horse races. But we know where to find all the information about horses, there is a separate article about this - where there are explanations and full instructions with a breakdown of all attributes. Racecards are required to print data on the form of horses in which there are data on all its previous races, their distances, additional weight, previous jockeys.

When analyzing horse shapes you need to pay attention to the conditions of previous races, for example, if the horse won, but the distances were shorter or the track was easier to cover, the additional weight was less, the jockey was more experienced - then all this suggests that now the horse will not come first, but if earlier it came second but the distance was longer, and the weight was greater than now, then it is likely that the current conditions of the race will be easier for her and the chances that she will come first are great.

You also need to pay attention to which horse ran better. The fact is that there are horses that feel better on dirty or wet, slow the track is better than dry and fast.

If in the form of a horse there are not only numbers but also letters, I advise you to take this into account. For example, the letter F means Fell a horse fall, R - Refuzed - the horse stopped in front of an obstacle, UR - Unseated Rider - a jockey falling from a horse ... (see). After all, if the horse has already dropped this jockey or stopped in front of an obstacle, this is a sign of its unwillingness to be the first and can be a high risk. Although the number 1 or 2 is often found next to the letters, i.e. the horse won prizes in neighboring races. Then you need to pay attention to the conditions of the ill-fated race. If a horse has already won at such distances or such a surface of the track, or with this jockey, then this is a very good sign. For a complete picture of the race, take a look at your chosen horse's competitors and you'll have an idea of ​​who he's up against and how likely he is to win.

In the same way, view jockey statistics, because if a jockey has very high performance on smooth races but low on steeplechases, then this is a reason not to bet on a horse running with him in a pair. But in smooth races, the opposite is true - if a jockey has good performance in steeplechase races, this is a plus, because there you need to be able to control the horse as much as possible and such jockeys cope well with difficult situations.

At first it may seem that it is very difficult, but since the race data is on one page, it is not so difficult and time consuming to analyze the shape of the horses. Hundreds of races take place every day and professional players manage to analyze many dozens of races and place bets on horse races that turn out to be winning!

Choosing a bookmaker. It would seem that everything is like everywhere else, you need to choose the best and most reputable bookmaker with good conditions for betting. But the problem of choosing a bookmaker arises when it becomes clear that not all bookmakers can provide bets on horse racing.
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Bet on sports with the best bookmakers!

Use free bonuses from bookmakers!

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CONCLUSION

Summing up, there are 3 main ways to make money on horse racing:

This is the easiest way to make money on bets - buy predictions and place bets. But this method is not suitable for everyone. First, forecasts paid , and then they are not always successful and it often happens that you win only the amount for which you bought the forecast, and it happens even worse. But of course, not all forecasts are bad and thanks to them you can earn money on bets, but in the long run it is extremely difficult to find the right forecasts, and besides, you need to overcome the language barrier, since good horse racing predictions usually on English and French sites.

Make money on bets using strategies. This is a sure way to earn money from horse racing if you use a time-tested strategy. Why necessarily time-tested? The thing is that almost all strategies are successful, otherwise these strategies would not exist at all, but the whole problem is that most strategies are successful only in the short term. What does it mean? For example, you use a strategy, win not large sums, but often. But at the same time, you have to make big bets. And there is a small chance that your bet will lose. If she loses, then you lose everything that you could earn for a lot of bets. As a rule, this always happens, albeit not immediately, and until this happens you will consider the strategy successful, although in the long run it will not be so. However, almost all players use some kind of strategy. The skill lies in combining several strategies in order to protect yourself from losing as much as possible. But if you make incorrect bets and lose, then no strategy will help you make money on bets.

The surest way to make money betting on horse racing is analyze yourself. This is certainly not the easiest way, but the most reliable. All you need to do is analyze the shape of the horses and back up your own analytics with financial and gaming strategies. In this case, you are sure to win! It will only take a day, and you will already gain experience and, most importantly, compile your own statistics. For example, it demonstrates how important it is to have your own statistics. Also on our site you will find various information about betting on horse racing - strategies, terms, dictionaries, types of races and hippodromes, tips and statistical information and much more. All this will help you to bet successfully on horse racing and earn money on the races!

From time immemorial, horse racing has excited people's minds with its unpredictable results, the speed of events and the adrenaline received from viewing. After the first bets on horse racing appeared, the consciousness of people generally exploded. The equestrian sport began to gather hundreds of thousands at the hippodromes, not even millions of people who wanted to bet on a horse, in their opinion, running to victory.

However, it so happened that horse racing is not very popular with our player. But this does not mean that no one is fond of equestrian sports. There are connoisseurs of horse racing, who consider them art. Also, we have a lot of bettors who are very successful in betting on this particular sport.

And we will most likely start with a discussion of the types of bets on this equestrian sport. Probably every bettor once made at least one bet on horse racing. Someone liked it, and he decided to continue, and someone thought that such a sport as, for example, football, was closer to him. It is useless to argue about which is better. As they say, to each his own.

Somewhere betting on horse racing is a popular activity, but somewhere horse racing is a little less popular. But the essence remains the same - this equestrian sport is liked and always liked by many people.

If you are not hooked on betting on horse racing, then this does not mean anything. Making your first bet, you might not even know the basic rules. Well, let's start, at least with the types of horse racing bets. Do you know even one? So, here are most of them:

  1. Victory- This is the simplest type of betting in horse racing. It does not require much explanation, but we will say something anyway. Just like in any other sport, betting to win means choosing a horse and placing a bet that it will come to the finish line first. However, everything is not so simple here. There are interesting situations when the stewards disqualify the horse for some reason already at the finish line. Some bookmakers still count your winnings, while others regard disqualification as a loss. There is another nuance that is associated with the highest ratio (SP). Questions regarding SP should preferably be discussed with the bookmaker before betting. What is it all about? Well, for example, you bet on the victory of the horse a few hours before the start of the race. The coefficient at the time of making the bet is 2.5. However, 10 minutes before the start of the race, the coefficient increases to 3. Well, so, if your horse comes first, then you will be credited with the highest coefficient.
  2. Place- This is the next type of bet. To place this bet, you need to select a horse and then the place it will take in the race. That is, this type of bet can be compared with the exact score in football or, for example, tennis. The odds for this type of bet are usually high. That is why experienced bettors who understand horse racing can make good money on this type of bet.
  3. Pair. Pretty interesting bet. You don't care who comes first and who comes last. You choose a pair and bet that, for example, horse 1 will finish faster than horse 2. If this happens, then your bet will win.
  4. Prize Pair. Perhaps one of the most difficult predictions. This bet is similar to the previous option, but here you need not only to guess the sequence, but to know which horse will win the race and which will take second place. Due to the fact that it is quite difficult to give the correct answer to this question, the odds for such outcomes go off scale.
  5. Prize trio. The same as the “Prize Pair”, but now you need to guess a sequence of three options: who will be the first, who will be the second, and which horse will come running third. The odds for such outcomes are even higher than in the previous case.
  6. Express. Each player who came to the races tote considers it his duty to make this particular bet. Why? The fact is that the odds of the outcomes are multiplied and in this way you can win a fortune. There have been times when people have bet $1 on the accumulator and won millions.
  7. Toto. This type of betting on horse racing is used by bookmakers in places where this type of activity is generally prohibited. The bottom line is that the bettor needs to guess several outcomes at once, only in this case he will receive his winnings. As a rule, the margin on “toto” is more than 30%. However, players still bet, simply because they have no alternative.
  8. Finish. This type of horse racing bet has one of the smallest odds. Its essence lies in the bet that the horse will come to the finish line, and it does not matter in what place it will be. It may seem that this is an easy income for a bettor, but this is not entirely true. The fact is that going off the track in races is a fairly common phenomenon. As a result, the debatable odds, combined with the low odds, make the “finish” a rather risky bet.
  9. Against. And here is the type of bet, the coefficients of which are generally ridiculous. Your task is to bet on a horse that will not win the race. Again, as in the previous case, all this “smells” of easy money, but as you understand, everything is not so. In horse racing, it often happens that dark horses surprise everyone. Someone wins on this state, and someone loses their hard-earned money. That is why experienced bettors do not recommend climbing into this type of betting without certain knowledge of equestrian sports. Of course, you can bet a small amount, but your winnings will be minimal. Lay odds rarely exceed 1.1.

Knowing the types of bets, you can already choose the most suitable option for yourself, play and win. However, let's not forget about the horse racing betting strategy. Knowing at least a few of them, you will increase the probability of your victory at times.

Horse racing betting strategies

There are many strategies for sports betting. Horse racing is no exception. In order to win on race bets, we will turn to strategies that have managed to become world famous for help.

Martingale strategy

The essence of this strategy is quite simple: after losing, you double your bet. Thus, when you win, the funds received will cover all expenses. This strategy came to the world of racing directly from the casino. But why does it work well in equestrian sports? It's all about ratios. As we know, they are high in the races. For example, you decide to bet $10 on a football match. What will be the ratio? As a rule, something around 2. Thus, if you win, you will win only $20. As for the races, here the coefficient equal to 5 is a normal phenomenon. As a result, by doubling down after a loss, we can win a lot of money. Let's go in numbers:

So, we bet $10 on a soccer match with odds of 2. We lose and bet another $20. Lose and bet another $40, win $80. We are up $10.

Now, bet the same $10 in races at odds of 5. Lose and bet $20. Lose and bet $40, win $200. We are up $130.

Agree, there is a difference.

The “Martingale” strategy has proven itself quite successfully in equestrian sports, so you can safely use it.

Strategy “Against the Favorite”

The essence of this strategy is to bet against the favorite of the race. That is, using the information you have, you calculate the favorite of the race and bet against it. That is, you are betting that the horse, which supposedly should come first, will not make it. That's how you always do it. Statistics have shown that this strategy works in 60% of cases. In horse racing, clear favorites often lose races.

There is also a strategy TrueMoney, which contains the essence of the two previous strategies - "Martingale" and "Against the Favorite".

Dutch system

A strategy has long been known with which you can constantly win at the races. They called it the Dutch system. The essence of this strategy is that you should bet on almost all horses. So, choose 10 favorites for yourself, distribute which of them should be in what place after the race. Then do the following:

  1. You have chosen from 1-10. Suppose that each of these horses, in your opinion, should take the places corresponding to the numbers you gave them.
  2. We bet $10 on the first horse, $9 on the second, $8 on the third, and so on.

How can you be profitable? It is important to stop on time. You must understand which horse cannot even theoretically win. With each lowering of the bet, the odds per horse will increase, since the chances of her winning are less than those of the others. Thus, you will remain in the black by increasing the odds. However, I would like to note once again that the main thing is to understand when to stop.

You won’t be able to bet on all the horses and stay in the black, since any office that accepts bets on horse races has long provided for this.

Now, you are familiar with several working strategies that can be safely applied in horse racing betting. They should help you beat the bookmaker.

What bookmaker to play with

If you have a betting track in the city, then you are very lucky. You can go there, bet there and watch the race live. Impressions will be unforgettable.

But we live in the age of technology development. And one of these technologies is the Internet. When there is no opportunity to go to the hippodrome, but you want to play, bets on online horse racing come to our aid. The main thing in this business is to choose a good bookmaker.

And which bookmakers offer the best betting horse races? – H3

The leading position in this list is occupied by the British BC, founded back in 1934, under the name WilliamHill. Behind it is not a young and ambitious office called. And the third place in the race for leadership of the best of the bookmakers that provide the opportunity to bet on horse races is occupied by a service called.

Now that you're savvy about horse racing betting, you're ready to go out and win your first races.

The time has come to talk about how you can make money on these exchanges! Horse racing is one of the most popular sports among the so-called. “cappers” or “panthers” (punter) - those who are betting professionally or at a good amateur level. Why? - you ask. In my opinion, there are several reasons: - There are many events per day, you can always find “your” race; - Short duration of each event, which means fast (or draining) of capital; - A huge database of statistics, which allows you to look for patterns and build strategies (except that backtesting is not so easy to do); - Large volumes of bets (judging by the Betfair betting exchange) - no one is surprised by the amount of several thousand dollars per horse, often the volume of betting per horse exceeds 1 million dollars per race!

Horse racing analysis

This strategy can be called “fundamental analysis” of races. Only unlike regular bookmakers, we will be looking for a horse that should not win(mathematical expectation is on our side here - after all everyone will lose except for one horse, and only one will win). Each horse has several basic characteristics by which you can evaluate its chances in just a minute: 1. Age- young horses are usually in better shape, older horses are better able to distribute forces in the race; 2. Weight- a light horse will have an advantage over a short distance (it “accelerates” faster), while it is easier for a heavy horse to maintain high speed due to greater inertia; 3. Shape- the most important characteristic of a horse! The form indicates the places that the horse took in its last races. Decryption:
An important factor here is the cycles of the form of the horse and their accounting. Let's say if the horse's form is on the rise (eg 785442), this means that the horse is likely to be gaining form and will soon be at its peak (or has already passed it). In any case - the probability of winning such a horse is higher than that of a U9/P40 horse - the same horse knocked the jockey down, rarely ran and the last race did not make it to the top 9. 4th place is not an indicator, because just 4 horses (or 5) could participate in the race. As you can see, the shape of a horse can tell a lot about it! 4. Days since last run- a horse that has recently run will most likely not bring any surprises. A horse that has been running for a long time is a dark horse (maybe it has been running on the track and eating steroids all this time!). 5. Jockey and trainer- optional factors, but may be useful for in-depth analysis (you cannot choose). Everything is simple here - if the jockey wins, he will probably take a high place here, and vice versa :) Similarly with the coach, 15-20% of wins is an excellent result. 6. Jockey's requirement- in races, horses must have a certain weight, for which ballast is hung on them. Jockeys are allowed to reduce this weight (more often used by inexperienced jockeys to increase speed and their chances of winning), the requirement is measured in pounds (454 grams, if anyone is interested) and is limited (as the number of victories increases, the maximum requirement decreases). 7. Number of horses in the race- a rather important characteristic of the race. Agree, if 4 horses participate in the race, guessing the winner is a little easier than in a derby of 18-20 horses! Let's move on to the characteristics of an individual race 1. Type of race - the main types of races: Handicap- depending on the rating of the horses, they are given different ballast weights so that everyone is approximately on an equal footing, which adds intrigue (not to the horses for sure); Claiming- not so much a race as an exhibition. After the race, auctions are held, the winner of the auction gets the selected horse and its prize! The owner of the winning horse may choose not to put his horse up for auction; Hurdle- obstacle course. One of the most unpredictable types of races; Maiden- only horses that have never won a race participate in the race. Also an unpredictable type of race; Stakes- the “coolest” races with the fastest horses. Fast horses, rich sheikhs, idiotic hats... It's all about Stakes racing! 2. Coating - there are 4 types: Firm- dry coating, great for running Soft- wet soil, horses may have difficulty Good- average between Firm and Soft Good to Firm, Firm to Soft and combinations- varies in different places of the hippodrome 3. Distance- measured in miles (1.609 km) and furlongs (201 m). Short distances are usually harder to predict. Indicated by a code (like almost everything in horse racing), say 2m4f - 2 miles 4 furlongs ~ 4 kilometers.

So, the factors for selecting a horse that should not win according to our strategy:

1. Type of race- Preferably Stakes/Handicap. The rest is really hard to predict if you're not a pro. 2. Distance- preference for races lasting about 2 or more, because easier to predict 3. Shape- you can guess for yourself)) It is better if the horse did not perform very well - it fell, threw off the jockey, rarely ran, and even better - if the results are declining! Let's say our dream horse could be 76/50U9! 4. Betting odds- a figure familiar from previous articles. Preference for horses with coefficients from 10 to 20 (the probability of winning, according to bettors, is 5-10%); 5. Days since last run- it is better if there was not a big break from the last race, as the horse really could train and eat steroids all this time, unpleasantly surprising us with his victory! 6. Number of horses- races with 9 or more horses are preferred so that our horse has less chance of winning!))
Other factors may be taken into account, but these are the main ones. This system is quite universal (you can modify and add your own conditions after analysis), it was sold under different names for different amounts and brought the so-called. "infobusinessmen" many millions of rubles (or maybe not rubles)!

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