"Correct score" in football - a strategy with examples. Football Accurate Score Calculation Soccer Accurate Score Calculation

Many, especially novice players, believe that the correct score betting strategy is a method created by professional bettors only for themselves and experienced colleagues. And all because among the players the opinion is firmly rooted that it is very difficult to guess the exact score, and it is almost impossible to do it on a permanent basis.

However, statistics show that this is not the case; guessing the exact score is quite realistic. Especially if the better is well versed in football or another sport, and knows the characteristics of teams or athletes. Football, volleyball and tennis matches are great for such betting tactics.

Which exact score in football is suitable for betting strategy

According to the same statistics:

  1. Approximately 10-12% of all football events end with a score of 1:1 or 1:0.
  2. Approximately 50% of all outcomes are 0:0, 1:0, 1:1, 2:1, 2:0.
  3. Other outcomes are much rarer, and it is very often inappropriate to include them in the strategy.

As you can see, the most popular are only 5 options, from which you need to choose. And if the better does not bet at random, but after studying certain information on the teams, the number of suitable options will narrow even more.

Things to consider when betting on the correct score:

  1. The motivation of the opponents is whether they have an incentive to score goals in this match, or it’s quite suitable for them to just play the match without straining “for show”.
  2. Championship - in the most prolific championships (England, Germany, etc.), a 2:1 score is more likely.
  3. Team composition, injuries of attackers and defenders.
  4. The class of the teams playing, whether there is an obvious favorite and an outsider, or whether the teams are more or less equal in strength.

There are many more aspects that can affect the outcome, but over time, the better will learn to identify and take them into account before placing a bet in the bookmaker. In the meantime, this has not happened, it is better to bet on the exact score of football matches not one at a time, but in a complex way.

Strategy for an accurate score in football - for a favorite

Bets on the favorite are usually not very pleasing to bettors with the value of the odds. This is because the favorite is more likely to win. But if you bet on both the favorite and the correct score at the same time, the odds look much more attractive. For example, on average, CF for outcomes is 1:0 = 8, 2:0 = 7, 3:0 = 9, 4:0 =12, 5:0 = 20, 6:0 = 50. More than 6 goals are scored extremely rarely even favorites.

Most bettors think that betting on the correct score on the favorite is still stupid, because an outsider can also score a goal, and it still remains unclear what score to bet on. And here it is enough to find out one little secret - the probability of winning the favorite who did not miss a single goal during the match is 70%. It turns out that the score is most likely to be?: 0. Instead of a question mark, you can put any number up to 6.

The advantage of this strategy is that the bettor does not need to form express bets from bets. And many other exact score strategies are based on the parlay system. And this is despite the fact that most bookmakers do not allow more than 1-2 bets on the exact score to be included in the accumulator.

How to bet on the correct score on the favorite in football

So, the strategy of betting on the exact score on the favorite consists in the following sequence of actions:

  1. We are looking for a suitable bet, even with a coefficient of 1.2.
  2. We allocate a bank in the amount of 52 conventional units (dollars, euros, rubles, hryvnias, etc.).
  3. We make 6 bets at the same time:
    1. On the result of 1:0 we put 13 c.u.
    2. At 2:0 we put 14 c.u.
    3. At 3:0 we put down 11 c.u.
    4. At 4:0 we allocate 8 c.u.
    5. At 5:0 we allocate 4 c.u.
    6. At 6:0 we allocate 2 c.u.

Regardless of which of the bets we made will play, we will get about 100 USD in our hands, having invested only 52. ​​And this means that by and large we bet on the favorite with a coefficient of 2, instead of 1.2, cleverly bypassing the bookmaker office.

If you constantly bet according to such a system, pockets, of course, will happen. But in the long run, statistics promise us a 70% pass rate of our bets. And a high coefficient of the multibet "on the favorite + the exact outcome" will allow you to get a good profit.

0:0 strategy

In order for a 0:0 football strategy to be winning, you need to take into account the following points:

  1. Choose the least scoring championships.
  2. Choose low-motivated opponents who are neutral towards each other.
  3. Choose the teams at the bottom of the standings.
  4. It is better and more profitable to bet on the score 0:0 - this is to bet on the first half, and not on the result of the entire match.

Football accurate score strategymaybe against 0:0 in the first half. In this case, the following rules must be observed:

  • Choose matches where the favorite plays at home.
  • Face-to-face meetings of the teams are productive.
  • First half performance latest games commands must be greater than 0.

Football score bets are very popular among bettors. They are attracted by the huge odds that bookmakers offer on these markets. Guessing the score of a football match is a very difficult task. If you have certain knowledge and use the right methodology, then the mission does not look fantastic.

In this article, we will talk about the correct score strategy in football. Let's take a look at its positive and negative aspects.

How to bet according to the strategy on the correct score in football?

Usually the bookmaker puts rather high odds (from 5.00) on the exact account. This gives bettors the opportunity to maneuver using various techniques.

One of them is catching up on the exact score in the match. Not every team is suitable for betting on this strategy. Experts categorically do not recommend choosing attacking clubs. It is almost impossible to guess the score of the match, in which the driving teams participate.

We need teams that prefer to play indoor football. For example, Atlético Madrid often wins 1-0.

Assume that the odds for Atlético to win 1-0 are always 5.00. Usually it is much more.

The bettor must wait for the team's series of 5-6 matches with a different score. So it minimizes investments and significantly increases the chances of winning. Put a certain amount (for example, 1000 rubles) to the account 1:0. If the bet has not played, then there is no need to double it. The next three iterations (circles) can continue to bet on 1:0 for 1000 rubles. This allows you to make a high ratio (5.00).

The size of the fifth bet must be doubled. It is necessary to multiply the amount until the team wins with a score of 1:0.

Let's assume that our sixth bet has played. Let's calculate the profit: 4000 * 5.00 = 20000 - 4000 (first four bets) - 2000 (fifth bet) - 4000 (sixth bet) = 10000 net profit.

Study the statistics carefully. This will allow you to win more often. The more knowledge a player has, the higher his chances of winning.

1-2-3 strategy for correct score in football

The strategy is based on determining the most likely outcomes. The bettor needs to choose a bookmaker that offers 10 correct score markets. In practice, it looks like this:

  • 0:0 – 5,00.
  • 1:0 – 5,60.
  • 2:0 – 9,70.
  • 0:1 – 11,00.
  • 1:1 – 10,00.
  • 2:1 – 22,00.
  • 0:2 – 29,50.
  • 1:2 – 40,00.
  • 2:2 – 100.
  • Any other - 17.00.

Bookmakers that offer more than 10 markets (for example, a score of 4:0 or 4:2) are not suitable for this system.

The bettor needs to predict six possible outcomes by placing a bet on each. It is important to correctly distribute the bankroll:

  • We put 30% of the deposit on the most probable account.
  • 20% for two markets with a high probability of winning.
  • 30% for three markets with a ghostly chance of success.

The player will get six bets. In practice, it looks like this:

  • 1:0 - 3000 rubles.
  • 2:1 - 2000 rubles.
  • 2:0 - 2000 rubles.
  • 0:1 - 1000 rubles.
  • 1:1 - 1000 rubles.
  • 1:2 - 1000 rubles.

The total amount of bets is 10,000 rubles. Let's analyze the potential winnings of each coupon:

  • 1:0 - 5.60 (odds) * 3000 (bet amount) = 16800 - 10000 (all bets) = 6800 rubles of net profit.
  • 2:1 - 22.00 (odds) * 2000 (bet amount) = 44000 - 10000 (all bets) = 34000 rubles of net profit.
  • 2:0 - 9.70 (odds) * 2000 (bet amount) = 19400 - 10000 (all bets) = 9400 rubles of net profit.
  • 0:1 - 11.00 (odds) * 1000 (bet amount) = 11000 - 10000 (all bets) = 1000 rubles profit.
  • 1:1 - 10.50 (odds) * 1000 (bet amount) = 10500 - 10000 (all bets) = 500 rubles of net profit.
  • 1:2 - 40.00 (odds) * 1000 (bet amount) = 40,000 - 10,000 (all bets) = 30,000 rubles of net profit.

If the match ends with the selected score, then you will receive a certain profit (depending on the result). Any other result will result in loss of funds. That is why professionals recommend betting no more than 5% of the total pot. This will allow you to recoup in the future.

  • Russia.
  • Italy.
  • France.
  • Greece.
  • Portugal.

Strategy for an accurate score in football doubles

According to statistics, the home team wins in 50% of matches, and about 12% of matches end with a score of 1:0. We recommend choosing championships in which such a result is much more common (Russia, Italy, France, Greece, Portugal).

The essence of the strategy is as follows:

  • We take ten matches that can end with a score of 1:0.
  • We open an online calculator for calculating systems. It can be found on the Internet for free.
  • We bet on the system 2 out of 10.

Bettor preselects ten matches with a probable score of 1:0. The main thing is that the coefficient for each outcome should not be less than 7.00. Places a 2 out of 10 bet.

For example, we bet 500 rubles. This means that we have 45 express trains. The amount of the bet for each is 11 rubles 11 kopecks. The minimum task is to enter two bets. If you play more, then the profit will increase significantly. Theoretically, all express bets can be played. Practice shows that usually come from one to five positions.

If two matches are played, then the profit will be: 544 (total winnings) - 500 (our bet) = 44 rubles.

Three matches: 1633 (total winnings) - 500 (our bet) = 1133 rubles of net profit.

Four matches: 3266 (total winnings) - 500 (our bet) = 2766 rubles of net profit.

Disadvantages of the doubles strategy:

  • Some bookmakers lower the odds for the most likely score in a match (for example, 1:0) to 5.00.
  • Most bookmakers prohibit including multiple correct score outcomes in systems.
  • Quite a big risk.

The bettor needs to carefully study the statistics of each championship. This will help you make better bets. But no one is immune from possible defeat. One ridiculous blow can cross out all calculations.

Strategy for the exact score of 27 parlays

The method suggests betting 27 accumulator bets on the three most likely scores in matches. The essence of the strategy:

  • We find three matches.
  • We choose the most likely results.
  • We form 27 express trains from them.

For example, for each game we have chosen three most probable scores: 1:0, 2:1, 2:0. Typically, the odds for these outcomes range from 7.00 to 9.00. Suppose that the bookmaker gives 7.00 for a 1:0 score, 8.00 for a 2:1 score, and 8.00 for a 2:0 score.

We form express bets in which we take into account the listed options. There are 27 of them. We put 100 rubles on each (in total - 2700 rubles). In practice, it looks like this:

Played any of these parlays - we get a profit. Let's calculate the winnings. If the express with the lowest coefficient (343.00) entered, then the net profit will be: 100 (our bet) * 343.00 = 34300 - 2600 (lost bets) = 31600 rubles.

The strategy is quite risky - you can lose all your money. But its authors argue that to make a profit, it is enough to win once out of ten.

  • Russia.
  • Italy.
  • Greece.
  • France.

These championships are not distinguished by high performance, so it is much easier to predict the score.

Disadvantages of the 27 bet strategy:

  • The methodology is rather cumbersome. The bettor needs to make 27 parlays. This takes a lot of time and effort.
  • If at least one of the selected teams wins with a different score, draws or loses, then say goodbye to the money.
  • Professional players who have tried the strategy in practice claim that they can guess in one case out of 10.
  • Most bookmakers have a negative attitude towards such bets. If the bettor consistently wins using this strategy, then he can cut the limit and put him on the list of unwanted clients.

The strategy of betting on the correct score in football, reviews

The opinions of bettors about the strategy of betting on the correct score in football are divided. Some players claim that with its help they were able to earn significant profits. They were helped in this right choice teams and high odds. Others claim that this is a deliberately unprofitable technique that leads to the drain of the bank at a distance.

Conclusion

We have analyzed the most popular strategies for the exact score of football. Whether to use them or not is up to you. We recommend that you practice on a virtual account. If it starts to work out, then switch to real money.

Bookmakers offer to bet on the exact score in football, usually these are the most likely outcomes of the match. There is also an "Any other account" bet.

Guess the score upcoming game is a difficult task, but bettors are attracted by high odds. Making a single bet on a specific account is relying on luck. Betting enthusiasts have developed such strategies in which correct score bets are used as part of accumulators, systems and incomplete surebets.

Statistics of popular scores in football

In fact, sampling by championship and year gives a different picture. If you need up-to-date information, it makes sense to independently analyze the numbers and draw conclusions on specific championships and matches at the moment.

Overview of exact count strategies

It is believed that the eight most popular results look like this: 0:0, 1:0, 0:1, 1:1, 2:0, 0:2, 2:1, 1:2. In the Premier League season 2016/2017, these results were recorded in 73.1% of all games. The score 3:0 was not included in our "eight", despite the high percentage. Correct score odds usually range from 5 or higher.


Correct Score Markets for a Match English Premier League, the minimum coefficient of 7.00 corresponds to a score of 1:1.

Strategy for the exact score "Fan"

essence: "overlap" the most likely outcomes of the match with single bets. The number of bets is from 5 to 7 depending on the odds set by the bookmaker on this game. If for one of the outcomes the coefficient is less than 6, then the "fan" of 6 bets will bring a loss.

According to the strategy, be sure to include scores 0:0, 1:1, 2:1, 2:0. The remaining 2-3 outcomes recommend choosing from results with higher odds, where one of the teams scores 3 goals. For some reason, there is no score 1:0, but in vain.

Conditions for selection of games:

  • games of championships and teams with low performance are suitable;
  • it must be a match with an implicit favorite;
  • limit the range of possible outcomes as much as possible.

Example. Meeting from the Argentine Examples. The game was expected to be “low” (TM(2.5) – 1.55), the bookmaker gave preference to the hosts. The statistics of the past meetings confirmed our choice – the coefficient was 5.7 on the score 1:0. This meant that you could only fan bet on 5 games. We have chosen 0:0, 1:1, 1:0, 2:0 and 2:1, the size of the five bets is the same.

The meeting ended with the victory of Rosario Central 1:0. We ended up with a small profit.

A kind of fan strategy– game system for the exact score 1-2-3. It is proposed to bet on 6 options for the score of the selected match, while the bet sizes for each of them are determined according to the following rules:

  • 30% - for the most likely outcome;
  • 20% - for the following two possible options;
  • 10% - on the three remaining results with less chances.

Based on the odds, you can change the size of bets in such a way as to be in the black when the account “enters” the results selected by the bettor.

Strategy for the exact score "Doubles"

Rationale: about 12% of games end 1-0. In about half of the games, the hosts win. Consequently, every fourth victory of the hosts is 1:0.

If you choose 10 matches where the score is 1:0 and make a 2 out of 10 system out of them, then with two guessed results, the bettor will be in profit. A prerequisite is that the odds must be at least 7.0.

Strategy Calculation Example. The total amount for all bets is 450 rubles. The system includes 45 expresses, the bet per option is 10 rubles. Of the ten selected matches with odds of 7.0. to the score 1:0 from desired result 2 games finished.

Calculation of the system using an online calculator

As a result, our income amounted to 490 - 450 = 40 rubles.

Weaknesses of the strategy:

  • in "grassroots" matches with an implicit favorite, the minimum odds for the most probable outcome (usually 1:1 or 1:0) drops to 5.0, which excludes such matches from the strategy;
  • many bookmakers do not allow more than one option to be included in systems and parlays accurate count.

Strategy for the exact score 1:0

The strategy is similar to the previous one. The difference is that the system is not used here. The player will be "in the black" if two out of 10 single bets turn out to be successful. Profit at the same costs (10 bets of 45 rubles) will be less than in the case of the system.

Profit calculation: 2 x (45 x 7) - 450 = 2 x 315 - 450 = 630 - 450 = 180 rubles.

There are bettors who find a place to “catch up” here too.

27 Express Strategy

essence: the bettor selects the three most predicted matches from his point of view.

These can be games of equal teams or with a slight advantage of one of them, in which many goals should not be scored. The last requirement is relevant for all strategies related to bets on the correct score.

  1. For each of the matches, we choose the three most likely outcomes. For example, if one of the teams has a slight advantage, then it is 1:0, 2:0, 2:1. We get three games with three results.
  2. We make all kinds of accumulators from three matches, in total - 27. If all three matches do not go beyond our forecasts, then one accumulator plays.

An approximate calculation shows that if the odds are on average 7.0, then by spending only 135 rubles (27 bets of 5 rubles each), we will make a profit

5 x 7 x 7 x 7 \u003d 5 x 343 \u003d 1715 - 135 \u003d 1580 rubles.

Plus or minus one system

essence: for each of the 4 selected matches, a probable score is predicted.

For each of the outcomes, by subtracting and adding one goal, we make up four more scores. It turns out one basic result plus 4 additional ones for each game - a total of 20 results, from which ordinary ones are then formed, as well as double, triple quadruple express trains.

conclusions

Various ways of playing and strategies for score in football, despite all the difficulties, arouse the interest of players. High odds for this type of bet, the use of accumulators, systems allow experienced bettors to find interesting opportunities for the game.

Many novice players believe that it is very difficult to predict the exact score in a match and only professional bettors can do it. It is widely believed that this betting direction is associated with significant risk.

Football correct score rules

Betting on the exact score in football at a bookmaker is one of the riskiest types of betting. Before making a choice in favor of such an option, you must determine what you expect from a particular meeting and follow the rules:

  • Both teams should be well known to you: the style of the game, the capabilities of the players, and so on.
  • Determine the direction of the confrontation in terms of performance: the expected number of goals in the game and the most important thing that can affect the increase or decrease in goals.
  • Determine league performance. This is very important point, slightly different from point 2, because some teams in the league are knocked out of the total.
  • Identify the favorite, his chances of winning and the most likely outcomes (W1, draw or W2).
  • Determine the problems of the teams, and how the opponent can take advantage of this (injuries, tactics, motivation, discord in the team, etc.).
  • Understand how each team plays and how the style of play can stop and level the opponent strengths(take into account point 5).
  • Determine how much each opponent can score or not score.
  • Find out which are the most popular accounts for teams according to the selected outcome.
  • Choose several options for the outcome of the match and determine the most likely one.
  • Remember, there are many outcomes in football, so do not play big scores.
  • Don't bet too much. In practice, 3-4 options are enough, but some practice 5-7. If the situation does not turn out according to the plan, you will lose not one bet, but several.

Please note: you can place 1 bet on a specific account (for example, 1:1, if you are waiting for a draw), or select 2-3 options and place 3 different bets (if you are waiting for one of the opponents to win 2:1, 2:0, 1:0 ). Usually, the odds allow you to take 3 options and, as a result, win if one of the options is correct.

Statistics of popular scores in football

According to statistics, the most popular outcomes are 1:1 and 1:0, which account for 10% of matches. Popular options: 2:1 - 9%, 2:0 - 7% and 0:0 - 7%.
The percentage of popular results increases or decreases depending on the performance of the championship. For example, the Brazilian championship is not productive and more than 70% of matches end with outcomes: 0:0, 1:0, 1:1, 2:1, 2:0. And the American MLS is productive and often there are scores of 3:1, 4:4, 4:3, 3:2, 3:3, 4:2. Consider the performance of the league itself!

At alexbetting.info/matches/statm/ you can see the performance football leagues and the most popular game results in each.

By selecting the league of interest, you will receive a detailed statistical summary of the league.

An example of English Premier League statistics.

In the Premier League, the most popular results are 2:1, 2:0, 1:1. Here 2:0 is much more common in home games, and 2:1 away.

Correct Score Betting Strategies

There are several strategies.

On the favorite

The odds for the favorites are sometimes so small that it is unprofitable to play their victory because of the bookmakers' confidence in the team's victory. In this case, you can try to play on the exact score of the favorite with a significantly increased odds.

In a correct score strategy, it is important to determine the performance of the league and the most popular option if the favorite wins and the probability that the favorite will not concede. If you are sure that he is capable of playing dry, consider betting on: 1:0, 2:0, 3:0, 4:0, 5:0 and 6:0. Bet a little more on the first options than on the next ones. Example:

  • 1:0 at 12 c.u.
  • 2:0 — 12-14
  • 3:0 — 10
  • 4:0 — 7-8
  • 5:0 — 4
  • 6:0 — 2

Agree, football matches are extremely rarely completed larger. Approximate coefficients: 7.5, 7.0, 7.5; 11, 19, 34.

It's important to know!

Place a similar option in cases where there is confidence that the favorite will not concede and plays reliably in defense.

But you can use the approach in a different direction. For example, consider Juventus of the 2018/19 season. The "Old Lady" did not score more than 3 goals, i.e. they win confidently in the class, but do not smash the opponent, but they play reliably in defense and concede little. Therefore, on almost any of their games, bet on the score from 1:0 to 3:0 or with 1 goal of the opponent.

IN this moment Juventus lead Serie A by a wide margin. The average performance of matches is 2.77 goals, which is the 8th indicator in the league, while at home the figure drops to 2.75. The reason is that the team operates reliably in defense.

Similar statistics can be found at 24score.pro.

On the example of the match against SPAL (11/24/2018):

  • 1:0 for 6.50 - 10 ye
  • 2:0 for 6.00 - 13
  • 3:0 for 6.50 - 10
  • 0:0 for 19.0 - 2
  • 1:1 for 17.0 - 4
  • 2:1 for 8.50 - 7
  • 3:1 for 12.0 - 4

In this case, by betting $49, you won $78, and you get $29 net. You can select one team and constantly bet on it according to the selected scheme.

For example, in Spain, you can lead home Atlético Madrid, which wins 12-15 games at home out of 19 in a season; it concedes few goals and rarely scores more than 3 goals.

Strategy 1 2 3

The essence of the strategy is to make several bets on different outcomes at once, and distribute the amount so that when one passes, there is a plus. The more likely the outcome, the greater the bet amount.

It is very important to play low-scoring championships or low-scoring teams.

Consider the most popular outcomes: 0:0, 1:0, 0:1, 1:1, 2:1, 1:2. Example: meeting in the Premier League on 02.02.2019 between Burnley and Southampton. These are 2 teams that have scored 25 and 26 goals in 25 rounds, respectively. The meeting fits perfectly with the strategy. By placing bets, we get:

  • 1:0 for 8.50 - $15
  • 2:0 for 13.0 - 8
  • 0:0 for 9.50 - 12
  • 0:1 for 9.50 - 12
  • 1:1 for 6.50 - 22
  • 1:2 for 9.50 - 12

Total: the amount of $ 81 is affixed. The match ended 1:1, this is the most expected result, according to the bookmaker, so it was necessary to bet on it most of the time, and on the rest less, depending on the odds. As a result, the net profit is $62.

Distribute the bets so that if you hit any of the 6 outcomes, you will stay in the black.

You can take the games of any teams with low performance. For example, in Turkey, according to the strategy, bet on the matches of Alanyaspor, Bursaspor, Basaksehir or Kayserispor.

In their matches, TM2.5 passes in 70-80%.

Doubles

Most of the games in football ends with a score of 1:0, in 9-10% of cases, and in 50-60% the hosts win. This means that in low-scoring leagues, a quarter of games end with a similar result.

Therefore, having chosen 10 games with a home favorite, you can bet on a 1:0 win in a 2 out of 10 system and guess 2 to get a significant win.

27 Express

The method implies a betting package of 27 express bets on the 3 most likely outcomes of the game:

  • We find 3 games.
  • We choose the most likely outcomes.
  • We create 27 parlays based on these scores with all possible combinations.

Usually it is 1:0, 2:1 and 2:0, if you are sure that the hosts will win. Bookmakers offer odds in the range of 7.0-9.0. Calculation example: 1:0 ratio is approximately 7.0, 2:1 and 2:0 - 8.0.

Based on this, we bet 27 accumulator bets for 3 games with different outcome options for $10 each accumulator bet:

In the case of passing any express, we get a profit. In our example, the smallest option with a coefficient of 343. Net profit will be 3160 units (winning on the accumulator bet 3430 minus the total amount of bets 270).

Minuses:

  • Big risk. If you made a mistake with one duel (any other outcome), all accumulators will lose.
  • You need to manually place 27 different accumulator bets, and this is a laborious process.
  • It's hard to guess. Players who tried the strategy wrote that they managed to do this in 10% of cases.
  • If you constantly win according to the strategy, you can get blacklisted by the bookmaker or your limits will be cut.

Fan strategy

Several outcomes are selected with the same amount for one match, but for different results in the game. It is not recommended to bet more than 6-7 options for the exact result, otherwise you will go into the red, taking into account the odds at bookmakers.

Example. We bet on 6 options:

  • 1:0 for 8.50 - 100 rubles
  • 2:0 for 13.0 - 100
  • 0:0 for 9.50 - 100
  • 0:1 for 9.50 - 100
  • 1:1 for 6.50 - 100
  • 1:2 for 9.50 - 100

If any option plays out, we win.

In other varieties of the methodology, the player chooses the most probable score and bets 40% on it, determines another 4-5 options and bets 10-15% on them. If the main bet wins, the player receives a solid win of 200-300%, and in other options returns from 70% of the staked amount or wins 5-50%.

The strategy is best used in confrontations where one of the opponents is slightly stronger than the other, but not so much as to be considered a clear favorite. Games involving clear favorites against underdogs and equal opponents are not suitable - a wide range of potential outcomes.

On account 0-0

The most popular outcome in football is a 1-1 draw. But the most popular result in the first half is 0-0. The strategy is designed specifically for this event.

Low scoring championships are best suited. Least scoring championships:

  • Nigeria - 1.83
  • South Africa - 1.95
  • Argentina - 2.05
  • Russia - 2.10
  • Greece - 2.13
  • Serbia - 2.16
  • Colombia, Brazil - 2.20
  • Ukraine, Venezuela - 2.30

After the name of the country, the average performance per match is indicated.

Leagues are ideal for this strategy and 1,2,3. For the method to be profitable, choose teams that do not have much motivation and are preferably at the bottom of the standings.

You can also play against such a strategy, then choose a game between a favorite and an outsider, and high-scoring teams that usually score at least 1 goal in the first half.

On account 1-0

The second most popular result is 1:0. You can use this knowledge and bet on the outcome. For the strategy, you will need to choose a specific team, often winning with just that score. You can choose one or more teams from the list of less successful championships provided above and bet on a victory with a result of 1-0.

Important!

In no case do not choose attacking and high-scoring teams that often score more than 1 goal per game.

First, wait for the team to play 3-7 matches with any other outcome and then bet on the result 1-0. For example, let's start with $10. In case of loss, the next 3 bets can be placed with the same amount depending on the odds, usually in the region of 5.0 and higher. Each subsequent bet must increase the previous one by 2 times. We bet $10, on the 5th time we bet $20, on the 6th - $40, etc.

Let's say that the team won from 6 times with the desired outcome of 1-0, we get a win of ~ $ 200, if the standard odds of 5.0 are taken as the basis. The bet amount is 10*4+20+40=100, net profit is $100.

system plus minus one

When using the system, 4 games are selected, then for each confrontation it is determined with what outcome the meeting can end. Then add and subtract one ball from each opponent to each result. For example, if we consider that there will be 3:1: 4:1, 2:1, 3:2, etc.

  1. game-1 - singles
  2. game-2 - single
  3. game-3 - single player
  4. game-4 - single player
  5. express: first and second game
  6. express: first and third
  7. express: first and fourth
  8. express: second and third
  9. express: second and fourth
  10. express: third and fourth
  11. express: first, second, third
  12. express: first, second, fourth
  13. express: first, third, fourth
  14. express: second, third, fourth
  15. express: first, second, third, fourth

If you manage to guess the results of at least 2 matches, you will win. For strategy, it is important to use low-scoring championships or teams.

Live bets

There are 2 types of live bets:

  • Defensive - we bet that nothing will happen in the match, for example, it will be 0-0.
  • Aggressive - put on certain event, which we expect to see in the match.

Live betting on the correct score is best to choose defensive in the grassroots championships. For example, when one team scores, many expecting that the opponents will open up and many goals will follow, they bet on this option. In such situations in the grassroots championship, where before the start of the event the outcome was supposed to be 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1, bet 40-70% on the team that scored the goal to keep the score until the end of the match. Additionally, secure yourself by betting on 1-1 in case of a return goal.

An aggressive option can be used to win the favorite if the match was unsuccessful and he was the first to concede a goal. Here it is important not to make a mistake with the choice of the favorite, because. you have to pick someone who doesn't score a lot of goals.

In the 0-0 strategy, it was noted that it was advisable to bet on the outcome in the first half in the lower league. Here you can place a bet before the start of the match, and play it safe during the game and bet on a goal in the 1st half after 15-20 minutes. The coefficient can be such that you get a fork and you will not lose in any outcome of the first half.

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Betting on correct scores in football seems like fun to most bettors, unsuitable for serious betting due to the difficulty of predicting the final score in football. football match, but in fact, if you choose your bet wisely and apply a special strategy, you can increase the chances of success.

High odds

Bets on the correct score are always good odds, so the game is always worth the candle here, and you can count on a solid win even with a small amount of the bet. What is the correct score betting strategy based on? First of all, on statistics, which are easy to get these days, even if we are talking about a match of little-known teams.

There are a number of specialized sites that offer more than just archived results. football games, but also extended statistics that can also be used by the player - the number of shots (on target / past), saves, percentage of goal chances, etc.

Goal average strategy

There are several methods for predicting scores in football, and one of the most popular is based on calculating the average number of goals scored and conceded by each team. We take the average number of goals scored and conceded by the home team, add them to the same indicators of the opponent and look for the average, getting the expected score.

For example, let's take the already played Championship match "Charlton" - "Leeds". At the time of the game, Charlton had 52 goals scored and 55 conceded in 43 games, an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Leeds had a goal difference of 47-58, an average of 1.09 goal scored and 1.34 missed. That is, we got a preliminary score of 1.27 – 1.18, and in the end, “Charlton” won 2:1.

This one is vulnerable, because it is based on such a statistical concept as the average value, which is very popular with players, but often does not give a real picture of what is happening. For example, a team may not score five matches at all, and then win 6-0 and the average number of its goals will be equal to one, although, in fact, it generally scored in just one match, and kept five clean sheets.

Mode and median are the forecaster's best assistants

Much more interesting indicators from the world of statistics may be the mode and median, as well as the numerical interval. What it is? Mode is the value of the value that occurs most often in a number series. In our case, it is the number of goals that the team scores most often.

Calculating this indicator will help to immediately discard random defeats and special cases that will not affect the big picture, and we will find out that Charlton scores 2 goals most often and concedes 1 goal more often. Leeds, on the other hand, score 1 goal most of the time and concede 1 or 2 goals most of the time. This knowledge would make us revolve around the scores 2:1, 1:1, 1:0 and the probability of correct prediction would increase significantly.

The median is the variant located in the center of a ranked (ordered) series of results and is usually used together with a numerical interval, helping to better understand the essence of statistical indicators. A player using a football score prediction strategy must use not only the average, but also the modes and medians described above, as they are often better suited for these purposes, helping to discard random indicators that greatly influence the average.

Think like a bookie

In addition, you can base your strategy on the calculation of the expected number of goals in terms of such indicators as shots on goal, their accuracy and the percentage of goals scored. At least for matches in the top football leagues, the Champions League and the Europa League, such statistics are freely available and can be of great help in predicting the final score.

All the strategies described may seem very complicated and require specific mathematical knowledge and additional knowledge, but it is precisely with such indicators that bookmakers operate in their work and in order to be on an equal footing with them, and sometimes to be one step ahead, you need to understand all the subtleties of predicting sports results .

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